Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日多伦多气温最高？
8月1日多伦多气温最高？
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
$20,938 交易量
最新
$20,938 交易量
2026-08-01
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
19%
28°C
40%
29°C
27%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
$20,938 交易量
最新
$20,938 交易量
2026-08-01
24°C or below
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$484 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,550 交易量
1%
27°C
$3,739 交易量
19%
28°C
$5,123 交易量
40%
29°C
$2,130 交易量
27%
30°C
$2,528 交易量
13%
31°C
$3,077 交易量
1%
32°C
$772 交易量
<1%
33°C
$676 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$425 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$20,938结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,938结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-term forecast models from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles indicate Toronto highs on August 1 clustering near or slightly above the 25–27 °C climatological average, positioning 28 °C as the market mode at 36.5 % implied probability. Mid-range guidance shows modest warming from a warm-sector pattern with possible afternoon mixing, while ensemble spread keeps 27 °C and 29 °C as close contenders at 18.5 % and 24.5 %. Historical analogs for early-August days under similar steering flow rarely exceed 30 °C in the absence of strong subsidence, explaining the steep drop-off beyond that threshold. Traders are weighting the latest 12–24 h model runs and surface observations that will determine final maximum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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