Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月25日聖保羅的最高溫度？
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
18°C or below
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
15%
21°C
27%
22°C
29%
23°C
25%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 29%
21°C 27%
23°C 25%
20°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
18°C or below
$23 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
10%
20°C
$0 交易量
15%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
29%
23°C
$130 交易量
25%
24°C
$23 交易量
10%
25°C
$16 交易量
9%
26°C
$0 交易量
14%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C or higher
$31 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$223結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$223結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles point to a highest temperature near 26°C in São Paulo on August 25, reflecting southeasterly flow under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and allows modest daytime warming. August climatology places the average maximum around 22–24°C during the dry winter season, yet recent model consensus has trended slightly above that baseline amid stable conditions and light winds. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 26°C while clustering secondary outcomes from 19–25°C, underscoring uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and any late-day frontal influence. Updated INMET guidance and ensemble runs expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions