Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日上海最高溫度？
8月24日上海最高溫度？
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
最新
$12,206 交易量
最新
$12,206 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
最新
$12,206 交易量
最新
$12,206 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C or below
$206 交易量
<1%
26°C
$206 交易量
<1%
27°C
$144 交易量
<1%
28°C
$596 交易量
<1%
29°C
$884 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,246 交易量
5%
31°C
$3,301 交易量
50%
32°C
$2,636 交易量
37%
33°C
$1,182 交易量
6%
34°C
$1,098 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$707 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,206結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,206結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions