**Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, timeanddate.com, and The Weather Network point to an overnight low of 26–28 °C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, with 27 °C emerging as the most likely minimum.** Persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80 %, and light cloud cover or showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27 °C, and the absence of any strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative conditions supports the narrow range around 27 °C. Model consensus across short-range guidance favors this outcome, with only modest variations tied to exact timing of any showers. Updated forecasts in the next 12–24 hours could refine cloud cover and wind details, potentially shifting probabilities between the 27 °C and 28 °C bins that together hold over 90 % of market-implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日上海最低溫度？
8月24日上海最低溫度？
27°C 59%
28°C 34%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
8%
27°C
59%
28°C
34%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 34%
26°C 8%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
22°C or below
$60 交易量
<1%
23°C
$95 交易量
<1%
24°C
$92 交易量
1%
25°C
$402 交易量
5%
26°C
$814 交易量
8%
27°C
$714 交易量
59%
28°C
$339 交易量
34%
29°C
$542 交易量
4%
30°C
$60 交易量
<1%
31°C
$85 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, timeanddate.com, and The Weather Network point to an overnight low of 26–28 °C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, with 27 °C emerging as the most likely minimum.** Persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80 %, and light cloud cover or showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27 °C, and the absence of any strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative conditions supports the narrow range around 27 °C.
Model consensus across short-range guidance favors this outcome, with only modest variations tied to exact timing of any showers. Updated forecasts in the next 12–24 hours could refine cloud cover and wind details, potentially shifting probabilities between the 27 °C and 28 °C bins that together hold over 90 % of market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,297結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, timeanddate.com, and The Weather Network point to an overnight low of 26–28 °C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, with 27 °C emerging as the most likely minimum.** Persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80 %, and light cloud cover or showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27 °C, and the absence of any strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative conditions supports the narrow range around 27 °C.
Model consensus across short-range guidance favors this outcome, with only modest variations tied to exact timing of any showers. Updated forecasts in the next 12–24 hours could refine cloud cover and wind details, potentially shifting probabilities between the 27 °C and 28 °C bins that together hold over 90 % of market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,297結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office, timeanddate.com, and The Weather Network point to an overnight low of 26–28 °C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, with 27 °C emerging as the most likely minimum.** Persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80 %, and light cloud cover or showers limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further. Historical August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27 °C, and the absence of any strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative conditions supports the narrow range around 27 °C. Model consensus across short-range guidance favors this outcome, with only modest variations tied to exact timing of any showers. Updated forecasts in the next 12–24 hours could refine cloud cover and wind details, potentially shifting probabilities between the 27 °C and 28 °C bins that together hold over 90 % of market-implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions