Stable summer conditions in Shanghai, with typical mid-August overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 25–27°C, underpin the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on a 27°C minimum. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated amid high humidity and light winds. Official station readings from prior days in the series have resolved exactly at 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day temperature drop below 27°C, such as from localized heavy rainfall or a sharper-than-forecast wind shift, though current guidance from regional meteorological services shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日上海最低溫度？
8月23日上海最低溫度？
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$19,084 交易量
$19,084 交易量
2026-08-23
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$19,084 交易量
$19,084 交易量
2026-08-23
22°C or below
$315 交易量
<1%
23°C
$704 交易量
<1%
24°C
$549 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,735 交易量
1%
26°C
$789 交易量
3%
27°C
$6,669 交易量
98%
28°C
$6,343 交易量
<1%
29°C
$994 交易量
<1%
30°C
$333 交易量
<1%
31°C
$317 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$333 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable summer conditions in Shanghai, with typical mid-August overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 25–27°C, underpin the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on a 27°C minimum. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated amid high humidity and light winds. Official station readings from prior days in the series have resolved exactly at 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day temperature drop below 27°C, such as from localized heavy rainfall or a sharper-than-forecast wind shift, though current guidance from regional meteorological services shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$19,084結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable summer conditions in Shanghai, with typical mid-August overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 25–27°C, underpin the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on a 27°C minimum. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated amid high humidity and light winds. Official station readings from prior days in the series have resolved exactly at 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day temperature drop below 27°C, such as from localized heavy rainfall or a sharper-than-forecast wind shift, though current guidance from regional meteorological services shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,084結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETStable summer conditions in Shanghai, with typical mid-August overnight lows near the long-term climatological baseline of 25–27°C, underpin the market's overwhelming 98% implied probability on a 27°C minimum. Recent model runs and observational data show no significant cooling from frontal passages or enhanced cloud cover, keeping temperatures elevated amid high humidity and light winds. Official station readings from prior days in the series have resolved exactly at 27°C, reinforcing trader consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day temperature drop below 27°C, such as from localized heavy rainfall or a sharper-than-forecast wind shift, though current guidance from regional meteorological services shows low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions