Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast to easterly winds and modest humidity levels around 80–90%. Persistent summer warmth from the subtropical monsoon regime, combined with limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat effects, has kept recent minimums in this narrow band, with no significant cold air advection or frontal passage expected. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns and only light precipitation chances, reducing the potential for sharper temperature drops. Trader positioning favoring 27°C (43.5%) over 26°C (24.5%) or 28°C (15.5%) reflects this tight clustering in official guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at standard stations amid ongoing humid conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日上海最低溫度?
27°C 44%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 44%
26°C 25%
28°C 16%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
10%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast to easterly winds and modest humidity levels around 80–90%. Persistent summer warmth from the subtropical monsoon regime, combined with limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and urban heat effects, has kept recent minimums in this narrow band, with no significant cold air advection or frontal passage expected. Model consensus shows stable steering patterns and only light precipitation chances, reducing the potential for sharper temperature drops. Trader positioning favoring 27°C (43.5%) over 26°C (24.5%) or 28°C (15.5%) reflects this tight clustering in official guidance, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at standard stations amid ongoing humid conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions