**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
8月23日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$94,133 交易量
$94,133 交易量
2026-08-23
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$94,133 交易量
$94,133 交易量
2026-08-23
25°C or below
$231 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,777 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,986 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,842 交易量
<1%
29°C
$9,801 交易量
<1%
30°C
$11,596 交易量
<1%
31°C
$46,311 交易量
<1%
32°C
$8,675 交易量
99%
33°C
$5,124 交易量
1%
34°C
$3,631 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,158 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$94,133結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$94,133結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions