**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming. The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日臺北氣溫最高？
8月23日臺北氣溫最高？
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$62,681 交易量
$62,681 交易量
2026-08-23
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.4%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$62,681 交易量
$62,681 交易量
2026-08-23
27°C or below
$6,316 交易量
<1%
28°C
$8,332 交易量
<1%
29°C
$8,595 交易量
<1%
30°C
$7,649 交易量
<1%
31°C
$9,345 交易量
<1%
32°C
$6,041 交易量
99%
33°C
$6,391 交易量
<1%
34°C
$4,086 交易量
<1%
35°C
$3,746 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,565 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,157 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.**
Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming.
The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$62,681結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.**
Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming.
The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$62,681結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming. The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions