Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature near 31–33°C on August 25 amid persistent monsoon moisture and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating. Subtropical high humidity and cloud cover from regional tropical cyclone activity create variability in peak readings, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies highlighting potential afternoon convection that could suppress maxima or allow brief clears pushing toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but El Niño-enhanced rainfall patterns this season add uncertainty to model consensus on exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, as updated numerical weather predictions in the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the tightly grouped 31–33°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日廣州最高溫度?
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C或以上
10%
32°C 27%
33°C 24%
31°C 21%
30°C 12%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C或以上
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a highest temperature near 31–33°C on August 25 amid persistent monsoon moisture and scattered heavy showers that limit daytime heating. Subtropical high humidity and cloud cover from regional tropical cyclone activity create variability in peak readings, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies highlighting potential afternoon convection that could suppress maxima or allow brief clears pushing toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover around 32°C, but El Niño-enhanced rainfall patterns this season add uncertainty to model consensus on exact timing and intensity of precipitation. Traders appear to weigh these short-term atmospheric dynamics heavily, as updated numerical weather predictions in the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution among the tightly grouped 31–33°C outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions