Recent global seismicity shows typical background rates punctuated by clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a M7.4 event near Colombia on August 10 and multiple M5+ shocks in Indonesia and elsewhere through mid-August. USGS data indicate roughly 1,200–2,000 magnitude 5–5.9 earthquakes annually worldwide, translating to variable weekly counts of M5.5+ events that commonly range from single digits to low teens depending on aftershock sequences and tectonic stress release. With no dominant foreshock or swarm activity forecast for August 17–23, trader-implied probabilities cluster around mid-single digits to low teens, reflecting the inherent Poisson-like variability in plate-boundary faulting rather than any sustained elevation or quiescence. Ongoing USGS monitoring and rapid aftershock assessments will determine the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
8月17日至8月23日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
>13 20%
≤6 19%
8 13%
10 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
≤6
19%
7
11%
8
13%
9
12%
10
13%
11
9%
12
7%
13
8%
>13
20%
>13 20%
≤6 19%
8 13%
10 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
≤6
$635 交易量
19%
7
$117 交易量
11%
8
$131 交易量
13%
9
$117 交易量
12%
10
$117 交易量
13%
11
$117 交易量
9%
12
$122 交易量
7%
13
$124 交易量
8%
>13
$356 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity shows typical background rates punctuated by clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a M7.4 event near Colombia on August 10 and multiple M5+ shocks in Indonesia and elsewhere through mid-August. USGS data indicate roughly 1,200–2,000 magnitude 5–5.9 earthquakes annually worldwide, translating to variable weekly counts of M5.5+ events that commonly range from single digits to low teens depending on aftershock sequences and tectonic stress release. With no dominant foreshock or swarm activity forecast for August 17–23, trader-implied probabilities cluster around mid-single digits to low teens, reflecting the inherent Poisson-like variability in plate-boundary faulting rather than any sustained elevation or quiescence. Ongoing USGS monitoring and rapid aftershock assessments will determine the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
交易量
$1,836結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismicity shows typical background rates punctuated by clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a M7.4 event near Colombia on August 10 and multiple M5+ shocks in Indonesia and elsewhere through mid-August. USGS data indicate roughly 1,200–2,000 magnitude 5–5.9 earthquakes annually worldwide, translating to variable weekly counts of M5.5+ events that commonly range from single digits to low teens depending on aftershock sequences and tectonic stress release. With no dominant foreshock or swarm activity forecast for August 17–23, trader-implied probabilities cluster around mid-single digits to low teens, reflecting the inherent Poisson-like variability in plate-boundary faulting rather than any sustained elevation or quiescence. Ongoing USGS monitoring and rapid aftershock assessments will determine the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$1,836結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETRecent global seismicity shows typical background rates punctuated by clusters along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a M7.4 event near Colombia on August 10 and multiple M5+ shocks in Indonesia and elsewhere through mid-August. USGS data indicate roughly 1,200–2,000 magnitude 5–5.9 earthquakes annually worldwide, translating to variable weekly counts of M5.5+ events that commonly range from single digits to low teens depending on aftershock sequences and tectonic stress release. With no dominant foreshock or swarm activity forecast for August 17–23, trader-implied probabilities cluster around mid-single digits to low teens, reflecting the inherent Poisson-like variability in plate-boundary faulting rather than any sustained elevation or quiescence. Ongoing USGS monitoring and rapid aftershock assessments will determine the final tally.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions