Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月25日多倫多氣溫最低？
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或以上 60%
12°C 49%
20°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
99%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
43%
21°C或以上
60%
11°C或以下 99%
21°C或以上 60%
12°C 49%
20°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
11°C或以下
$5 交易量
99%
12°C
$5 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
22%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$5 交易量
43%
21°C或以上
$5 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETLatest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble guidance point to a minimum temperature near 14°C in Toronto on August 25 under clearing skies and light winds following any residual moisture. Clear conditions enhance radiative cooling overnight while the urban heat island and boundary-layer mixing limit how far temperatures can drop below model consensus, keeping most runs clustered between 12–16°C. Traders have placed the highest implied probability on 11°C or below, reflecting sensitivity to small changes in wind speed or cloud timing that could allow deeper cooling, with historical August climatology showing typical lows near 15–17°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions