Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日北京最高溫度？
8月24日北京最高溫度？
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
35%
34°C
20%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C或以上
2%
33°C 35%
32°C 26%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
27°C or below
$419 交易量
<1%
28°C
$86 交易量
1%
29°C
$23 交易量
1%
30°C
$140 交易量
4%
31°C
$844 交易量
11%
32°C
$817 交易量
26%
33°C
$803 交易量
35%
34°C
$2,444 交易量
20%
35°C
$1,011 交易量
6%
36°C
$462 交易量
3%
37°C或以上
$242 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,281結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,281結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions