NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月23日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月23日的最高溫度？
72-73華氏度 33%
74-75°F 31%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$17,671 交易量
$17,671 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
10%
72-73華氏度
33%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
華氏84度或更高
1%
72-73華氏度 33%
74-75°F 31%
76-77°F 22%
70-71°F 10%
$17,671 交易量
$17,671 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
$1,510 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$379 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,906 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$4,118 交易量
10%
72-73華氏度
$3,359 交易量
33%
74-75°F
$1,983 交易量
31%
76-77°F
$1,908 交易量
22%
78-79°F
$935 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$755 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$214 交易量
<1%
華氏84度或更高
$104 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$17,671結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,671結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETNWS forecasts and model consensus indicate San Francisco highs in the low-to-mid 70s on August 23, 2026, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the cold California Current that limits afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's emphasis on 72–75°F bins, reflecting typical late-summer conditions where coastal fog and upwelling moderate temperatures near the historical average of about 69.5°F. Recent observations show partly to mostly cloudy skies with no strong offshore warming or heatwave signals, though variable wind patterns and fog clearance timing introduce modest uncertainty in the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions