Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a high near 91°F under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms (50–70% chance) capable of limiting peak readings via cloud cover, downdrafts, and sea-breeze cooling. Persistent summer humidity near 80% and heat indices of 105–108°F support temperatures in the low 90s absent stronger convective suppression, aligning with climatological August averages of 89°F and the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93°F outcome. Model consensus and recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s reinforce trader sentiment around this range while leaving modest probability for slight underperformance if storms develop earlier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 1.5%
$18,466 交易量
$18,466 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或以上
1%
92-93°F 60%
90-91°F 30%
94-95°F 11%
88-89°F 1.5%
$18,466 交易量
$18,466 交易量
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
60%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 23 project a high near 91°F under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms (50–70% chance) capable of limiting peak readings via cloud cover, downdrafts, and sea-breeze cooling. Persistent summer humidity near 80% and heat indices of 105–108°F support temperatures in the low 90s absent stronger convective suppression, aligning with climatological August averages of 89°F and the market’s heavy weighting toward the 92–93°F outcome. Model consensus and recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 90s reinforce trader sentiment around this range while leaving modest probability for slight underperformance if storms develop earlier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions