Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日邁阿密的最高溫度？
8月24日邁阿密的最高溫度？
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
華氏102度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
83°F or below
$68 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$208 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$100 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$367 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$2,077 交易量
36%
92-93°F
$1,389 交易量
55%
94-95°F
$347 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$65 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$105 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$145 交易量
1%
華氏102度或更高
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$4,968結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,968結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETTraders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions