Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 80–81°F for Miami on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent subtropical warmth, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. A recent heat wave that produced record or near-record highs near 100°F has kept minimum temperatures 2–4°F above seasonal averages, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and storm activity provide modest moderation without significant overnight drops. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 36% implied probability, as traders weigh stable model consensus against the narrow window for further cooling before sunrise. Upcoming evening observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日邁阿密的最低溫度?
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.6%
72-73°F 2.1%
71°F或以下 <1%
$3,357 交易量
$3,357 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.6%
72-73°F 2.1%
71°F或以下 <1%
$3,357 交易量
$3,357 交易量
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate an overnight low near 80–81°F for Miami on August 23, 2026, supported by persistent subtropical warmth, elevated dew points, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms. A recent heat wave that produced record or near-record highs near 100°F has kept minimum temperatures 2–4°F above seasonal averages, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and storm activity provide modest moderation without significant overnight drops. These conditions align with the market’s leading 80–81°F outcome at 36% implied probability, as traders weigh stable model consensus against the narrow window for further cooling before sunrise. Upcoming evening observations from Miami International Airport will refine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions