Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models position a daytime high near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 24, reflecting a stable late-summer pattern with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing typical insolation. Recent runs show consensus around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or frontal systems that would drive extremes. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to this narrow range because updated guidance has narrowed uncertainty around peak heating, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or downside from increased afternoon convection. New model cycles expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日巴黎最高溫度？
8月24日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
$20,389 交易量
最新
$20,389 交易量
2026-08-24
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
15%
27°C
52%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 25%
26°C 15%
29°C 8%
最新
$20,389 交易量
最新
$20,389 交易量
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$933 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,023 交易量
2%
25°C
$1,940 交易量
5%
26°C
$3,059 交易量
15%
27°C
$4,228 交易量
52%
28°C
$3,339 交易量
25%
29°C
$2,324 交易量
8%
30°C
$1,631 交易量
2%
31°C
$896 交易量
1%
32°C
$832 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models position a daytime high near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 24, reflecting a stable late-summer pattern with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing typical insolation. Recent runs show consensus around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or frontal systems that would drive extremes. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to this narrow range because updated guidance has narrowed uncertainty around peak heating, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or downside from increased afternoon convection. New model cycles expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$20,389結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European and global models position a daytime high near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 24, reflecting a stable late-summer pattern with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing typical insolation. Recent runs show consensus around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or frontal systems that would drive extremes. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to this narrow range because updated guidance has narrowed uncertainty around peak heating, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or downside from increased afternoon convection. New model cycles expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,389結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European and global models position a daytime high near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on August 24, reflecting a stable late-summer pattern with moderate southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing typical insolation. Recent runs show consensus around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 24–26°C and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or frontal systems that would drive extremes. Traders assign over 75% combined probability to this narrow range because updated guidance has narrowed uncertainty around peak heating, with only modest upside risk from localized warming or downside from increased afternoon convection. New model cycles expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions