Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴黎最高溫度？
8月25日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
28°C 19%
25°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
23°C
$11 交易量
2%
24°C
$15 交易量
4%
25°C
$204 交易量
11%
26°C
$224 交易量
28%
27°C
$246 交易量
30%
28°C
$230 交易量
19%
29°C
$67 交易量
7%
30°C
$44 交易量
2%
31°C
$25 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,076結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,076結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble runs shows Paris maximum temperatures on August 25 likely settling near 24–26°C amid a post-heatwave regime with increased cloud cover, modest northerly flow, and scattered showers that limit peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied odds clustering on 26–27°C reflect trader focus on model spread and the possibility of clearer intervals allowing stronger daytime heating, while climatological late-August norms of 23–25°C and recent observations of suppressed highs cap upside risk. Key variables include exact timing of any thundery activity, wind direction shifts, and afternoon cloud evolution, with updated model cycles over the next 48 hours poised to refine these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions