Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 24 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure has advected cooler, drier continental air, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while increasing cloud cover that traps some warmth. This follows several cooler days, including a 13.4 °C minimum on August 22, below the 1991–2020 average low of 13.9 °C for the date. With minimal expected precipitation and light winds, temperature guidance remains stable ahead of the next model runs, though any shift in steering flow or increased clear-sky conditions could push the minimum slightly lower or allow modest recovery toward 16 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日巴黎最低溫度？
8月24日巴黎最低溫度？
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 16%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
44%
15°C
31%
16°C
12%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C或以上
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 31%
13°C 16%
16°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
11°C或以下
$15 交易量
4%
12°C
$17 交易量
4%
13°C
$296 交易量
16%
14°C
$1,635 交易量
44%
15°C
$260 交易量
31%
16°C
$22 交易量
12%
17°C
$15 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
2%
21°C或以上
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 24 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure has advected cooler, drier continental air, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while increasing cloud cover that traps some warmth. This follows several cooler days, including a 13.4 °C minimum on August 22, below the 1991–2020 average low of 13.9 °C for the date. With minimal expected precipitation and light winds, temperature guidance remains stable ahead of the next model runs, though any shift in steering flow or increased clear-sky conditions could push the minimum slightly lower or allow modest recovery toward 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,400結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European weather services indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 24 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure has advected cooler, drier continental air, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while increasing cloud cover that traps some warmth. This follows several cooler days, including a 13.4 °C minimum on August 22, below the 1991–2020 average low of 13.9 °C for the date. With minimal expected precipitation and light winds, temperature guidance remains stable ahead of the next model runs, though any shift in steering flow or increased clear-sky conditions could push the minimum slightly lower or allow modest recovery toward 16 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,400結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETRecent forecast models from European weather services indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 24 will likely settle near 14–15 °C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes. Persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure has advected cooler, drier continental air, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while increasing cloud cover that traps some warmth. This follows several cooler days, including a 13.4 °C minimum on August 22, below the 1991–2020 average low of 13.9 °C for the date. With minimal expected precipitation and light winds, temperature guidance remains stable ahead of the next model runs, though any shift in steering flow or increased clear-sky conditions could push the minimum slightly lower or allow modest recovery toward 16 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions