Persistent subtropical high pressure across the Yangtze River basin has driven Chongqing’s official maximum temperature to 37°C on August 23, 2026, according to the latest official and ensemble model guidance. Hourly forecasts and recent runs converge on a daytime peak settling precisely at this level rather than neighboring bins, supported by climatological context where August highs average near 34°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s during sustained heat episodes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or slight steering changes could still produce a 36°C or 38°C outcome, though current data make those outcomes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日重慶氣溫最高?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,144 交易量
$38,144 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C or higher
<1%
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$38,144 交易量
$38,144 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
100%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent subtropical high pressure across the Yangtze River basin has driven Chongqing’s official maximum temperature to 37°C on August 23, 2026, according to the latest official and ensemble model guidance. Hourly forecasts and recent runs converge on a daytime peak settling precisely at this level rather than neighboring bins, supported by climatological context where August highs average near 34°C yet frequently reach the mid-30s during sustained heat episodes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 37°C reflects this model agreement and real-time observational trends. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized precipitation, or slight steering changes could still produce a 36°C or 38°C outcome, though current data make those outcomes unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions