Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日聖保羅最低溫度？
8月25日聖保羅最低溫度？
9°C或更低 69%
10°C 48%
18°C 42%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C或更低
69%
10°C
48%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
42%
19°C或更高
2%
9°C或更低 69%
10°C 48%
18°C 42%
14°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C或更低
$5 交易量
69%
10°C
$5 交易量
48%
11°C
$0 交易量
25%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
28%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$5 交易量
42%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent passage of a cold front has introduced cooler maritime air and persistent cloud cover over São Paulo, moderating overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures mostly in the 13–16 °C range according to current model guidance from agencies such as INMET and international ensembles. This keeps the 9 °C-or-below outcome at 34.5 % alongside near-even probabilities for 11–19 °C brackets, reflecting genuine forecast spread from variable low-level wind speeds, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects that can shift the recorded low by several degrees. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 12 °C, so traders are weighting both the recent cool anomaly and the potential for partial clearing that could allow slightly lower readings before sunrise on the 25th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions