Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴拿馬城的最低溫度?
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或以上 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
44%
30°C
44%
31°C或以上
59%
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或以上 59%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
44%
30°C
44%
31°C或以上
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing atmospheric instability from Tropical Wave #37, combined with Panama's wet-season humidity and frequent convective activity, drives the closely matched market odds for the August 25 minimum in Panama City. Official forecasts indicate overnight lows near 24–26 °C under persistent cloud cover and showers that limit radiative cooling, yet model spreads and variable steering winds allow for occasional clearer intervals that could permit greater nocturnal drops. Historical August averages of 24 °C provide baseline context, while above-normal seasonal temperatures tied to equatorial Pacific warming add upward pressure on the distribution. Traders weigh the next IMHPA and global model updates, which will clarify whether enhanced convection or transient clear spells shift the implied probabilities across the 21–31 °C resolution thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions