Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C in Panama City amid the rainy season’s high humidity and light trade winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological baseline of 23–25°C. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover and typical steering patterns. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in convective activity or stronger winds enhancing radiative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow historical range for daily minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日巴拿馬城的最低溫度?
22°C 94%
20°C or below 93%
21°C 93%
26°C 50.7%
$1,542 交易量
$1,542 交易量
20°C or below
93%
21°C
93%
22°C
94%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 94%
20°C or below 93%
21°C 93%
26°C 50.7%
$1,542 交易量
$1,542 交易量
20°C or below
93%
21°C
93%
22°C
94%
23°C
33%
24°C
33%
25°C
49%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate overnight lows near 25–27°C in Panama City amid the rainy season’s high humidity and light trade winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological baseline of 23–25°C. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market consensus, reflecting traders’ assessment of minimal nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover and typical steering patterns. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge in convective activity or stronger winds enhancing radiative cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions and the narrow historical range for daily minima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions