Recent official forecasts and European ensemble models position 23–24°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s daily maximum on August 24, driven by post-frontal stabilization and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with westerly flow. These conditions limit strong solar insolation and keep temperatures near seasonal norms for late August, with historical averages around 23°C. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities aligns closely with this model agreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge the peak. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日慕尼黑最高溫度?
24°C 47%
23°C 25%
22°C 11%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
25%
24°C
47%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
23°C 25%
22°C 11%
25°C 11%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
25%
24°C
47%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and European ensemble models position 23–24°C as the leading outcomes for Munich’s daily maximum on August 24, driven by post-frontal stabilization and modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with westerly flow. These conditions limit strong solar insolation and keep temperatures near seasonal norms for late August, with historical averages around 23°C. Trader consensus reflected in the implied probabilities aligns closely with this model agreement, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could nudge the peak. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions