Recent official forecasts from sources including the DWD and multiple models indicate a frontal passage and increased cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms likely on August 25, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 20°C in Munich. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 19–21°C, as variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak values. Cooler northeasterly flow earlier in the period has suppressed temperatures relative to mid-August norms, while model consensus points to modest warming potential only if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak insolation hours. Updated guidance on storm timing and local observations will refine resolution odds ahead of the close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
10%
21°C 26%
20°C 24%
19°C 19%
22°C 14%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
19%
20°C
30%
21°C
26%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources including the DWD and multiple models indicate a frontal passage and increased cloud cover with showers or thunderstorms likely on August 25, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 20°C in Munich. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 19–21°C, as variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture introduce uncertainty in peak values. Cooler northeasterly flow earlier in the period has suppressed temperatures relative to mid-August norms, while model consensus points to modest warming potential only if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak insolation hours. Updated guidance on storm timing and local observations will refine resolution odds ahead of the close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions