Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 25 clustering between 11–14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This positioning drives the tight market spread across 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover, and surface wind speeds that control how far temperatures fall overnight. Historical late-August baselines near 12–13°C provide context, while the 24.5% on 8°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from potential model underestimation of clearer skies or colder advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8月25日慕尼黑最低溫度？
8°C or below 49%
18°C or higher 48%
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
49%
9°C
9%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
32%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
12%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
48%
8°C or below 49%
18°C or higher 48%
12°C 32%
13°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
8°C or below
$140 交易量
49%
9°C
$0 交易量
9%
10°C
$0 交易量
11%
11°C
$0 交易量
16%
12°C
$0 交易量
32%
13°C
$0 交易量
29%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
12%
16°C
$5 交易量
1%
17°C
$5 交易量
8%
18°C or higher
$140 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 25 clustering between 11–14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This positioning drives the tight market spread across 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover, and surface wind speeds that control how far temperatures fall overnight. Historical late-August baselines near 12–13°C provide context, while the 24.5% on 8°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from potential model underestimation of clearer skies or colder advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$290結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 25 clustering between 11–14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This positioning drives the tight market spread across 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover, and surface wind speeds that control how far temperatures fall overnight. Historical late-August baselines near 12–13°C provide context, while the 24.5% on 8°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from potential model underestimation of clearer skies or colder advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$290結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European models indicate minimum temperatures in Munich on August 25 clustering between 11–14°C under a stable high-pressure regime with light westerly winds and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This positioning drives the tight market spread across 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes, reflecting subtle differences in boundary-layer humidity, cloud cover, and surface wind speeds that control how far temperatures fall overnight. Historical late-August baselines near 12–13°C provide context, while the 24.5% on 8°C or below captures tail-risk scenarios from potential model underestimation of clearer skies or colder advection. Updated guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions