Current short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak near 32°C in Panama City on August 24, underpinning the market's leading implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched probabilities for 31–33°C. In Panama's rainy-season regime, afternoon convective clouds and showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently limit daytime maxima by reducing insolation, with timing and coverage of storms creating the key uncertainty between adjacent temperature thresholds. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–31°C, occasionally reaching 32–33°C under clearer, drier conditions; traders weigh the latest model runs and satellite trends on moisture and steering flow, with official observations from local meteorological services expected to resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 40%
33°C 32%
31°C 21%
30°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
32%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-term forecasts from regional models indicate a peak near 32°C in Panama City on August 24, underpinning the market's leading implied probability for that outcome amid closely bunched probabilities for 31–33°C. In Panama's rainy-season regime, afternoon convective clouds and showers driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone frequently limit daytime maxima by reducing insolation, with timing and coverage of storms creating the key uncertainty between adjacent temperature thresholds. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 30–31°C, occasionally reaching 32–33°C under clearer, drier conditions; traders weigh the latest model runs and satellite trends on moisture and steering flow, with official observations from local meteorological services expected to resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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