Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance point to a maximum near 31°C on August 24 as the most probable outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating amid late-summer humidity. Seasonal forecasts already anticipate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability from moisture and reduced solar insolation keeps the daily peak tightly clustered between 30–32°C. Traders weigh the narrow spread in forecast maxima against historical August averages near 31°C, with any clearer skies or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the observed high. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations will refine resolution as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日香港最高溫度?
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 7%
$19,375 交易量
$19,375 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
32°C 25%
29°C 7%
$19,375 交易量
$19,375 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory and model guidance point to a maximum near 31°C on August 24 as the most probable outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, moderate northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating amid late-summer humidity. Seasonal forecasts already anticipate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability from moisture and reduced solar insolation keeps the daily peak tightly clustered between 30–32°C. Traders weigh the narrow spread in forecast maxima against historical August averages near 31°C, with any clearer skies or delayed rainfall potentially shifting the observed high. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations will refine resolution as the date approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions