**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA place Seattle’s high temperature on August 23, 2026, in the lower-to-mid 70s, with consensus centered on 74–75 °F.** Early-day observations showed temperatures starting in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with light south-southwest winds and a typical late-summer marine influence moderating daytime heating. Multiple sources, including NWS point forecasts for Sea-Tac and Seattle/Boeing Field, project a peak near 74–75 °F as skies trend sunnier by afternoon, while other real-time updates range from 73–76 °F depending on exact station and timing of clearing. This scientific context—persistent onshore flow, modest insolation, and absence of strong downslope warming—explains why the market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–75 °F bin (48.5 %) and the adjacent 72–73 °F outcome (32 %), with only modest weighting on 76–77 °F. Recent model runs and morning observations have reinforced this narrow range, limiting upside potential from stronger heating and supporting the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日西雅圖的最高溫度？
8月23日西雅圖的最高溫度？
74-75°F 49%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 11%
70-71°F 4%
$11,871 交易量
$11,871 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 49%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 11%
70-71°F 4%
$11,871 交易量
$11,871 交易量
2026-08-23
65°F or below
$449 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$1,969 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,026 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$951 交易量
4%
72-73°F
$1,068 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$1,753 交易量
49%
76-77°F
$1,962 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$487 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$1,414 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$403 交易量
1%
84°F or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA place Seattle’s high temperature on August 23, 2026, in the lower-to-mid 70s, with consensus centered on 74–75 °F.**
Early-day observations showed temperatures starting in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with light south-southwest winds and a typical late-summer marine influence moderating daytime heating. Multiple sources, including NWS point forecasts for Sea-Tac and Seattle/Boeing Field, project a peak near 74–75 °F as skies trend sunnier by afternoon, while other real-time updates range from 73–76 °F depending on exact station and timing of clearing.
This scientific context—persistent onshore flow, modest insolation, and absence of strong downslope warming—explains why the market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–75 °F bin (48.5 %) and the adjacent 72–73 °F outcome (32 %), with only modest weighting on 76–77 °F. Recent model runs and morning observations have reinforced this narrow range, limiting upside potential from stronger heating and supporting the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$11,871結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA place Seattle’s high temperature on August 23, 2026, in the lower-to-mid 70s, with consensus centered on 74–75 °F.**
Early-day observations showed temperatures starting in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with light south-southwest winds and a typical late-summer marine influence moderating daytime heating. Multiple sources, including NWS point forecasts for Sea-Tac and Seattle/Boeing Field, project a peak near 74–75 °F as skies trend sunnier by afternoon, while other real-time updates range from 73–76 °F depending on exact station and timing of clearing.
This scientific context—persistent onshore flow, modest insolation, and absence of strong downslope warming—explains why the market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–75 °F bin (48.5 %) and the adjacent 72–73 °F outcome (32 %), with only modest weighting on 76–77 °F. Recent model runs and morning observations have reinforced this narrow range, limiting upside potential from stronger heating and supporting the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,871結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service (NWS) and NOAA place Seattle’s high temperature on August 23, 2026, in the lower-to-mid 70s, with consensus centered on 74–75 °F.** Early-day observations showed temperatures starting in the low-to-mid 60s under partly cloudy to overcast skies, with light south-southwest winds and a typical late-summer marine influence moderating daytime heating. Multiple sources, including NWS point forecasts for Sea-Tac and Seattle/Boeing Field, project a peak near 74–75 °F as skies trend sunnier by afternoon, while other real-time updates range from 73–76 °F depending on exact station and timing of clearing. This scientific context—persistent onshore flow, modest insolation, and absence of strong downslope warming—explains why the market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–75 °F bin (48.5 %) and the adjacent 72–73 °F outcome (32 %), with only modest weighting on 76–77 °F. Recent model runs and morning observations have reinforced this narrow range, limiting upside potential from stronger heating and supporting the current trader consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions