Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 59°F in Seattle on August 24, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Pacific, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-summer climatology features average lows of 57–59°F, with marine air moderating extremes. Forecast spread between 56–60°F arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions overnight could push readings toward the 56–57°F bin, while increased marine influence favors 58–59°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these adjacent ranges, reflecting the narrow window for model updates before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日西雅圖的最低溫度?
58-59°F 43%
56-57°F 41%
68°F或以上 39%
54-55°F 25%
49°F或以下
17%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68°F或以上
39%
58-59°F 43%
56-57°F 41%
68°F或以上 39%
54-55°F 25%
49°F或以下
17%
50-51°F
15%
52-53°F
10%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
14%
68°F或以上
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to an overnight low near 59°F in Seattle on August 24, driven by moderate onshore flow from the Pacific, light variable winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Typical late-summer climatology features average lows of 57–59°F, with marine air moderating extremes. Forecast spread between 56–60°F arises mainly from uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture; clearer conditions overnight could push readings toward the 56–57°F bin, while increased marine influence favors 58–59°F. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these adjacent ranges, reflecting the narrow window for model updates before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions