Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
2%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 20%
29°C 11%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus evenly weights 27–31°C outcomes for Panama City’s August 25 maximum because regional forecasts cluster near the long-term August mean of ~30–32°C amid elevated instability. A tropical wave (No. 37) and associated monsoon trough are sustaining widespread cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping projected highs around 29–31°C according to IMHPA and international guidance. Historical variability shows daily maxima rarely exceed 34°C or fall below 27°C in late August under similar convective regimes, so the narrow 4°C band around the climatological peak captures most model solutions. Traders will monitor the next model runs and satellite trends for any late-day clearing that could push readings toward the upper end of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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