Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate Tokyo's August 24 high will likely reach 32–33°C under a dominant North Pacific subtropical high, delivering southerly flow and mostly clear skies with limited afternoon convection. Sea breezes from Tokyo Bay and the Pacific moderate coastal readings by 1–2°C compared to inland Kanto sites, while the urban heat island effect elevates nighttime lows and sustains daytime warmth. Minor differences between 32°C and 33°C hinge on exact sea-breeze timing, wind speeds near 10–20 km/h, and low-level humidity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical summer variability rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日東京氣溫最高？
8月24日東京氣溫最高？
32°C 41%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 8%
最新
$10,701 交易量
最新
$10,701 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
41%
33°C
37%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 41%
33°C 37%
31°C 12%
34°C 8%
最新
$10,701 交易量
最新
$10,701 交易量
2026-08-24
25°C or below
$1,424 交易量
<1%
26°C
$915 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,085 交易量
<1%
28°C
$285 交易量
1%
29°C
$564 交易量
2%
30°C
$558 交易量
4%
31°C
$2,243 交易量
12%
32°C
$742 交易量
41%
33°C
$1,303 交易量
37%
34°C
$1,292 交易量
8%
35°C or higher
$291 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate Tokyo's August 24 high will likely reach 32–33°C under a dominant North Pacific subtropical high, delivering southerly flow and mostly clear skies with limited afternoon convection. Sea breezes from Tokyo Bay and the Pacific moderate coastal readings by 1–2°C compared to inland Kanto sites, while the urban heat island effect elevates nighttime lows and sustains daytime warmth. Minor differences between 32°C and 33°C hinge on exact sea-breeze timing, wind speeds near 10–20 km/h, and low-level humidity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical summer variability rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,701結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate Tokyo's August 24 high will likely reach 32–33°C under a dominant North Pacific subtropical high, delivering southerly flow and mostly clear skies with limited afternoon convection. Sea breezes from Tokyo Bay and the Pacific moderate coastal readings by 1–2°C compared to inland Kanto sites, while the urban heat island effect elevates nighttime lows and sustains daytime warmth. Minor differences between 32°C and 33°C hinge on exact sea-breeze timing, wind speeds near 10–20 km/h, and low-level humidity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical summer variability rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,701結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate Tokyo's August 24 high will likely reach 32–33°C under a dominant North Pacific subtropical high, delivering southerly flow and mostly clear skies with limited afternoon convection. Sea breezes from Tokyo Bay and the Pacific moderate coastal readings by 1–2°C compared to inland Kanto sites, while the urban heat island effect elevates nighttime lows and sustains daytime warmth. Minor differences between 32°C and 33°C hinge on exact sea-breeze timing, wind speeds near 10–20 km/h, and low-level humidity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical summer variability rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions