Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日東京的最低溫度？
8月25日東京的最低溫度？
27°C 54%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
54%
28°C
20%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
$557 交易量
<1%
22°C
$42 交易量
<1%
23°C
$32 交易量
<1%
24°C
$32 交易量
3%
25°C
$97 交易量
5%
26°C
$211 交易量
25%
27°C
$300 交易量
54%
28°C
$233 交易量
20%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$32 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$502 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,045結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,045結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions