**Official forecasts position 12–14°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Toronto on August 24, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest guidance calls for cloudy periods with a 30% chance of showers and an expected low of 14°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology (average overnight lows near 15°C). Persistent cloud cover from ongoing regional showers and thunderstorms reduces radiative cooling, supporting this range over colder outcomes. Model consensus and recent conditions—humid air masses, light westerly winds, and no strong cold front—limit downside risk, though variable shower timing could allow brief clearer spells that nudge readings toward 12°C. The low 1% probability for 19°C or higher reflects the absence of any warming mechanism overnight. Traders appear to weigh the official 14°C forecast against historical variability and uncertainty in exact cloud timing, concentrating implied probability around the 12–14°C band while assigning modest weight to the 9°C-or-below tail. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月24日多倫多氣溫最低？
12°C 40%
14°C 30%
9°C或以下 28%
16°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
28%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
40%
13°C
23%
14°C
30%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
24%
18°C
24%
19°C或以上
2%
12°C 40%
14°C 30%
9°C或以下 28%
16°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$121 交易量
28%
10°C
$5 交易量
26%
11°C
$5 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
23%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
28%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$33 交易量
24%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 12–14°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Toronto on August 24, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest guidance calls for cloudy periods with a 30% chance of showers and an expected low of 14°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology (average overnight lows near 15°C). Persistent cloud cover from ongoing regional showers and thunderstorms reduces radiative cooling, supporting this range over colder outcomes.
Model consensus and recent conditions—humid air masses, light westerly winds, and no strong cold front—limit downside risk, though variable shower timing could allow brief clearer spells that nudge readings toward 12°C. The low 1% probability for 19°C or higher reflects the absence of any warming mechanism overnight. Traders appear to weigh the official 14°C forecast against historical variability and uncertainty in exact cloud timing, concentrating implied probability around the 12–14°C band while assigning modest weight to the 9°C-or-below tail. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$169結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts position 12–14°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Toronto on August 24, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest guidance calls for cloudy periods with a 30% chance of showers and an expected low of 14°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology (average overnight lows near 15°C). Persistent cloud cover from ongoing regional showers and thunderstorms reduces radiative cooling, supporting this range over colder outcomes.
Model consensus and recent conditions—humid air masses, light westerly winds, and no strong cold front—limit downside risk, though variable shower timing could allow brief clearer spells that nudge readings toward 12°C. The low 1% probability for 19°C or higher reflects the absence of any warming mechanism overnight. Traders appear to weigh the official 14°C forecast against historical variability and uncertainty in exact cloud timing, concentrating implied probability around the 12–14°C band while assigning modest weight to the 9°C-or-below tail. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$169結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Official forecasts position 12–14°C as the most probable overnight minimum for Toronto on August 24, 2026.** Environment Canada’s latest guidance calls for cloudy periods with a 30% chance of showers and an expected low of 14°C, consistent with typical late-August climatology (average overnight lows near 15°C). Persistent cloud cover from ongoing regional showers and thunderstorms reduces radiative cooling, supporting this range over colder outcomes. Model consensus and recent conditions—humid air masses, light westerly winds, and no strong cold front—limit downside risk, though variable shower timing could allow brief clearer spells that nudge readings toward 12°C. The low 1% probability for 19°C or higher reflects the absence of any warming mechanism overnight. Traders appear to weigh the official 14°C forecast against historical variability and uncertainty in exact cloud timing, concentrating implied probability around the 12–14°C band while assigning modest weight to the 9°C-or-below tail. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings over the next 24 hours will be the key data releases likely to refine these odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions