Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月23日多倫多氣溫最低？
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 交易量
$1,725 交易量
2026-08-23
10°C or below
98%
11°C
5%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
33%
15°C
33%
16°C
47%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 交易量
$1,725 交易量
2026-08-23
10°C or below
$15 交易量
98%
11°C
$85 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
33%
13°C
$0 交易量
33%
14°C
$0 交易量
33%
15°C
$0 交易量
33%
16°C
$0 交易量
47%
17°C
$105 交易量
<1%
18°C
$265 交易量
<1%
19°C
$105 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,725結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,725結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions