**Persistent westerly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are capping Toronto's high temperature on August 24, 2026, near 19°C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and ensemble guidance (including runs aligned with Environment Canada and international models) show daytime maxima of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible and winds of 15–25 km/h from the west. This setup limits surface heating compared to typical late-August conditions, where the climatological normal high sits near 25–26°C. The market's tight clustering—19°C at 34% implied probability, 20°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 17.5%—reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact peak value amid variable cloud timing and precipitation amounts. Recent model updates have kept the outlook stable in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with little support for values above 21°C or below 17°C given the established synoptic pattern. Traders are weighing the narrow spread in guidance against potential short-term adjustments from the next model cycle before the day begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月24日多倫多氣溫最高？
19°C 35%
20°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
18%
19°C
35%
20°C
25%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
20°C 25%
18°C 18%
21°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
14°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$5 交易量
1%
16°C
$61 交易量
2%
17°C
$248 交易量
6%
18°C
$391 交易量
18%
19°C
$191 交易量
35%
20°C
$342 交易量
25%
21°C
$384 交易量
12%
22°C
$62 交易量
4%
23°C
$15 交易量
1%
24°C or higher
$15 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent westerly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are capping Toronto's high temperature on August 24, 2026, near 19°C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and ensemble guidance (including runs aligned with Environment Canada and international models) show daytime maxima of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible and winds of 15–25 km/h from the west. This setup limits surface heating compared to typical late-August conditions, where the climatological normal high sits near 25–26°C.
The market's tight clustering—19°C at 34% implied probability, 20°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 17.5%—reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact peak value amid variable cloud timing and precipitation amounts. Recent model updates have kept the outlook stable in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with little support for values above 21°C or below 17°C given the established synoptic pattern. Traders are weighing the narrow spread in guidance against potential short-term adjustments from the next model cycle before the day begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$1,714結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent westerly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are capping Toronto's high temperature on August 24, 2026, near 19°C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and ensemble guidance (including runs aligned with Environment Canada and international models) show daytime maxima of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible and winds of 15–25 km/h from the west. This setup limits surface heating compared to typical late-August conditions, where the climatological normal high sits near 25–26°C.
The market's tight clustering—19°C at 34% implied probability, 20°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 17.5%—reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact peak value amid variable cloud timing and precipitation amounts. Recent model updates have kept the outlook stable in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with little support for values above 21°C or below 17°C given the established synoptic pattern. Traders are weighing the narrow spread in guidance against potential short-term adjustments from the next model cycle before the day begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,714結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Persistent westerly flow and lingering cloud cover from a cool air mass are capping Toronto's high temperature on August 24, 2026, near 19°C according to the latest model consensus.** Official and ensemble guidance (including runs aligned with Environment Canada and international models) show daytime maxima of 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies, with scattered showers possible and winds of 15–25 km/h from the west. This setup limits surface heating compared to typical late-August conditions, where the climatological normal high sits near 25–26°C. The market's tight clustering—19°C at 34% implied probability, 20°C at 24.5%, and 18°C at 17.5%—reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact peak value amid variable cloud timing and precipitation amounts. Recent model updates have kept the outlook stable in the upper teens to low 20s Celsius, with little support for values above 21°C or below 17°C given the established synoptic pattern. Traders are weighing the narrow spread in guidance against potential short-term adjustments from the next model cycle before the day begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions