**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 reflects confirmed afternoon observations from official monitoring networks showing a peak near that threshold.** A cold front and maritime air brought widespread cloud cover and a sharp temperature drop from prior days’ 30°C+ readings, yet partial afternoon clearing allowed modest warming before the marine layer strengthened. Local automatic stations recorded values clustering around 22–23°C with isolated reports reaching 24°C, aligning with National Meteorological Institute and city emergency center data. This outcome sits below the month’s earlier anomalies but matches revised short-range forecasts emphasizing the front’s timing and limited insolation. Only a late upward revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月23日聖保羅的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,328 交易量
$12,328 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$12,328 交易量
$12,328 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$430 交易量
<1%
21°C
$703 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,479 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,824 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,864 交易量
100%
25°C
$2,087 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,139 交易量
<1%
27°C
$255 交易量
<1%
28°C
$312 交易量
<1%
29°C
$300 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$936 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 reflects confirmed afternoon observations from official monitoring networks showing a peak near that threshold.** A cold front and maritime air brought widespread cloud cover and a sharp temperature drop from prior days’ 30°C+ readings, yet partial afternoon clearing allowed modest warming before the marine layer strengthened. Local automatic stations recorded values clustering around 22–23°C with isolated reports reaching 24°C, aligning with National Meteorological Institute and city emergency center data. This outcome sits below the month’s earlier anomalies but matches revised short-range forecasts emphasizing the front’s timing and limited insolation. Only a late upward revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
交易量
$12,328結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 reflects confirmed afternoon observations from official monitoring networks showing a peak near that threshold.** A cold front and maritime air brought widespread cloud cover and a sharp temperature drop from prior days’ 30°C+ readings, yet partial afternoon clearing allowed modest warming before the marine layer strengthened. Local automatic stations recorded values clustering around 22–23°C with isolated reports reaching 24°C, aligning with National Meteorological Institute and city emergency center data. This outcome sits below the month’s earlier anomalies but matches revised short-range forecasts emphasizing the front’s timing and limited insolation. Only a late upward revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,328結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 24°C high in São Paulo on August 23 reflects confirmed afternoon observations from official monitoring networks showing a peak near that threshold.** A cold front and maritime air brought widespread cloud cover and a sharp temperature drop from prior days’ 30°C+ readings, yet partial afternoon clearing allowed modest warming before the marine layer strengthened. Local automatic stations recorded values clustering around 22–23°C with isolated reports reaching 24°C, aligning with National Meteorological Institute and city emergency center data. This outcome sits below the month’s earlier anomalies but matches revised short-range forecasts emphasizing the front’s timing and limited insolation. Only a late upward revision in station data or differing resolution criteria could alter the result.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions