Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles have clustered São Paulo’s August 24 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderate southeasterly winds enhancing mixing, and lingering moisture from a passing frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. These factors differentiate the narrow band from the historical August mean of roughly 23°C. Model consensus on minimal diurnal warming and stable atmospheric profiles sustains trader focus on the 19–21°C range ahead of official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日聖保羅的最高溫度?
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 30%
19°C 24%
21°C 23%
18°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
24%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
9%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles have clustered São Paulo’s August 24 maximum near 19–21°C, driving the tight market spread around those outcomes. Cooler-than-average conditions stem from increased cloud cover limiting solar insolation, moderate southeasterly winds enhancing mixing, and lingering moisture from a passing frontal boundary suppressing daytime heating. These factors differentiate the narrow band from the historical August mean of roughly 23°C. Model consensus on minimal diurnal warming and stable atmospheric profiles sustains trader focus on the 19–21°C range ahead of official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions