The closely matched probabilities for a 72–75°F high in San Francisco on August 1 reflect forecast uncertainty in the strength and persistence of the marine layer and onshore flow. National Weather Service models show modest warming under a weakening high-pressure ridge, but variable fog and stratus coverage overnight could cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. Typical August climatology places daily highs in the low-to-mid 70s, with deviations driven by wind direction and upwelling of cold Pacific water. Traders are pricing in modest upside risk from clearer skies or slight offshore flow, balanced against the usual cooling influence of the sea breeze. Updated model runs and morning observations will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月1日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月1日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 34%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
34%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
1%
74-75°F 34%
72-73°F 29%
70-71°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
華氏63度或以下
$918 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$187 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$162 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$142 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$1,072 交易量
19%
72-73°F
$440 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$560 交易量
34%
76-77°F
$903 交易量
16%
78-79°F
$120 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$785 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$399 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for a 72–75°F high in San Francisco on August 1 reflect forecast uncertainty in the strength and persistence of the marine layer and onshore flow. National Weather Service models show modest warming under a weakening high-pressure ridge, but variable fog and stratus coverage overnight could cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. Typical August climatology places daily highs in the low-to-mid 70s, with deviations driven by wind direction and upwelling of cold Pacific water. Traders are pricing in modest upside risk from clearer skies or slight offshore flow, balanced against the usual cooling influence of the sea breeze. Updated model runs and morning observations will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,688結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for a 72–75°F high in San Francisco on August 1 reflect forecast uncertainty in the strength and persistence of the marine layer and onshore flow. National Weather Service models show modest warming under a weakening high-pressure ridge, but variable fog and stratus coverage overnight could cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. Typical August climatology places daily highs in the low-to-mid 70s, with deviations driven by wind direction and upwelling of cold Pacific water. Traders are pricing in modest upside risk from clearer skies or slight offshore flow, balanced against the usual cooling influence of the sea breeze. Updated model runs and morning observations will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,688結束日期
2026-08-01市場開放時間
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThe closely matched probabilities for a 72–75°F high in San Francisco on August 1 reflect forecast uncertainty in the strength and persistence of the marine layer and onshore flow. National Weather Service models show modest warming under a weakening high-pressure ridge, but variable fog and stratus coverage overnight could cap afternoon temperatures near the coast. Typical August climatology places daily highs in the low-to-mid 70s, with deviations driven by wind direction and upwelling of cold Pacific water. Traders are pricing in modest upside risk from clearer skies or slight offshore flow, balanced against the usual cooling influence of the sea breeze. Updated model runs and morning observations will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions