Ensemble forecasts from major global models cluster tightly around a 22–24°C maximum for Cape Town on August 2, reflecting the current high-pressure regime and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover while allowing moderate daytime heating. South African Weather Service guidance indicates a 20°C high under fine, cool conditions with light north-westerly flow, but ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind strength create the narrow uncertainty band captured by traders. With 23°C and 24°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, outcomes hinge on final observational adjustments at official stations and any late adjustments in model consensus before resolution. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, so this mild setup sits above climatology without crossing into warmer anomalies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日開普敦最高溫度？
8月2日開普敦最高溫度？
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
14%
23°C
29%
24°C
28%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 29%
24°C 28%
22°C 14%
25°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$501 交易量
4%
21°C
$199 交易量
6%
22°C
$356 交易量
14%
23°C
$244 交易量
29%
24°C
$201 交易量
28%
25°C
$470 交易量
14%
26°C
$553 交易量
6%
27°C
$87 交易量
2%
28°C
$10 交易量
2%
29°C
$125 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$172 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major global models cluster tightly around a 22–24°C maximum for Cape Town on August 2, reflecting the current high-pressure regime and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover while allowing moderate daytime heating. South African Weather Service guidance indicates a 20°C high under fine, cool conditions with light north-westerly flow, but ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind strength create the narrow uncertainty band captured by traders. With 23°C and 24°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, outcomes hinge on final observational adjustments at official stations and any late adjustments in model consensus before resolution. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, so this mild setup sits above climatology without crossing into warmer anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,919結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major global models cluster tightly around a 22–24°C maximum for Cape Town on August 2, reflecting the current high-pressure regime and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover while allowing moderate daytime heating. South African Weather Service guidance indicates a 20°C high under fine, cool conditions with light north-westerly flow, but ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind strength create the narrow uncertainty band captured by traders. With 23°C and 24°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, outcomes hinge on final observational adjustments at official stations and any late adjustments in model consensus before resolution. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, so this mild setup sits above climatology without crossing into warmer anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,919結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from major global models cluster tightly around a 22–24°C maximum for Cape Town on August 2, reflecting the current high-pressure regime and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover while allowing moderate daytime heating. South African Weather Service guidance indicates a 20°C high under fine, cool conditions with light north-westerly flow, but ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer mixing or wind strength create the narrow uncertainty band captured by traders. With 23°C and 24°C nearly tied in market-implied odds, outcomes hinge on final observational adjustments at official stations and any late adjustments in model consensus before resolution. Historical August maxima average near 18°C, so this mild setup sits above climatology without crossing into warmer anomalies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions