Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月31日紐約市的最高溫度？
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,805 交易量
$70,805 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,805 交易量
$70,805 交易量
2026-07-31
75°F or below
$757 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$906 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$18,950 交易量
100%
86-87°F
$12,350 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$10,180 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$70,805結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70,805結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTrader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions