Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月2日莫斯科最高溫度？
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
23%
30°C
46%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C或以上
2%
30°C 46%
29°C 23%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
$515 交易量
<1%
24°C
$496 交易量
<1%
25°C
$470 交易量
1%
26°C
$716 交易量
2%
27°C
$363 交易量
3%
28°C
$154 交易量
8%
29°C
$615 交易量
23%
30°C
$761 交易量
46%
31°C
$799 交易量
20%
32°C
$190 交易量
4%
33°C或以上
$168 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,246結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,246結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from major models place Moscow’s peak temperature on August 2 near 29–30 °C under generally settled high-pressure conditions typical for early August. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 30 °C (45.5 %) and 29 °C (22.5 %), while the smaller share for 31 °C (20.5 %) reflects residual model spread in maximum values. With the event less than 24 hours away, forecast uncertainty is low; updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center or ECMWF runs over the next few hours will be the main catalysts that could shift probabilities between the 29–31 °C outcomes. Historical early-August averages near 23–24 °C provide context for the warmer anomaly currently expected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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