**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日達拉斯的最高溫度？
7月31日達拉斯的最高溫度？
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 交易量
$64,148 交易量
2026-07-31
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 交易量
$64,148 交易量
2026-07-31
97°F or below
$12,640 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$9,046 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$14,781 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$9,036 交易量
100%
104-105°F
$6,839 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$4,943 交易量
<1%
108-109°F
$4,073 交易量
<1%
110-111°F
$1,285 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$785 交易量
<1%
114-115°F
$363 交易量
<1%
116°F or higher
$358 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$64,148結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$64,148結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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