The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 96-97°F high in Houston on July 31 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at primary reporting stations. This outcome aligns with the day's atmospheric conditions, including elevated dew points and limited cloud cover that supported daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical July climatology for the region shows typical highs around 94-96°F, making this reading consistent with recent trends but not record-breaking. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimates or post-event data revisions, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日休斯敦的最高溫度?
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$25,677 交易量
$25,677 交易量
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$25,677 交易量
$25,677 交易量
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The dominant 100% market-implied probability for a 96-97°F high in Houston on July 31 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that peak temperature at primary reporting stations. This outcome aligns with the day's atmospheric conditions, including elevated dew points and limited cloud cover that supported daytime heating without significant convective cooling. Historical July climatology for the region shows typical highs around 94-96°F, making this reading consistent with recent trends but not record-breaking. Minor uncertainty remains around station-specific microclimates or post-event data revisions, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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