Traders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日聖保羅的最高溫度？
7月31日聖保羅的最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 交易量
$44,335 交易量
2026-07-31
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 交易量
$44,335 交易量
2026-07-31
17°C or below
$922 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,815 交易量
<1%
19°C
$937 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,199 交易量
<1%
21°C
$6,597 交易量
<1%
22°C
$7,389 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,198 交易量
100%
24°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,161 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,768 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$44,335結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,335結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETTraders assign near-certainty to a 23°C high in São Paulo on July 31 because official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia station readings and National Institute of Meteorology-verified maxima aligned precisely on that value, with minimal model spread in post-event reanalysis. July climatology for the region shows typical winter highs near 22–24°C under stable subtropical high pressure, and no significant warm advection or urban heat island anomalies altered the outcome. Resolution hinges on the single highest recorded temperature at the designated reference station, leaving little room for revision unless a data-quality audit or secondary station discrepancy emerges in final reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions