Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance, showing an onshore flow and marine layer influence moderating conditions despite a broader Southern California heat pattern, has positioned the 80-81°F range as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability for downtown Los Angeles on August 1. Typical early-August climatology features highs near 83°F at official stations, with sea breezes often capping peaks below regional valley maxima that have recently exceeded 100°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range forecast runs indicating a likely maximum near 80°F, alongside any overnight low trends or model consensus shifts that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月1日的最高溫度?
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 14%
華氏77度或以下 4%
$29,846 交易量
$29,846 交易量
華氏77度或以下
4%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
華氏96度或以上
<1%
80-81°F 47%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 14%
華氏77度或以下 4%
$29,846 交易量
$29,846 交易量
華氏77度或以下
4%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
47%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
華氏96度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance, showing an onshore flow and marine layer influence moderating conditions despite a broader Southern California heat pattern, has positioned the 80-81°F range as the market leader at 45.5% implied probability for downtown Los Angeles on August 1. Typical early-August climatology features highs near 83°F at official stations, with sea breezes often capping peaks below regional valley maxima that have recently exceeded 100°F. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range forecast runs indicating a likely maximum near 80°F, alongside any overnight low trends or model consensus shifts that could push readings into the upper 70s or low 80s by resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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