Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日慕尼黑的最高溫度?
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
$61,920 交易量
$61,920 交易量
26°C or below
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 32%
27°C 15.5%
30°C 12%
$61,920 交易量
$61,920 交易量
26°C or below
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
32%
29°C
36%
30°C
12%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Munich on August 1, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a stable high-pressure ridge. This positions the market-implied probabilities for 28°C (31.5%) and 29°C (35.5%) as closely matched outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings influenced by urban heat-island effects versus official airport measurements. Historical August averages near 23–25°C provide context, yet recent model runs show modest warming from regional airflow patterns without significant advection of hotter air masses. Traders weigh these variables against potential afternoon convective cooling or measurement thresholds at resolution time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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