The market's near-certain positioning on 78-79°F reflects the official maximum temperature of 78°F recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on July 31, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data. This outcome aligns with LAX's typical marine-layer moderation, where afternoon sea breezes and coastal stratus limit warming even amid broader Southern California heat dome conditions that drove inland highs well above 90°F. Ensemble model guidance and historical July norms at the station (averaging highs near 73-76°F) supported the tight clustering around this narrow range, with minimal variance from partly cloudy skies and standard onshore flow. Scenarios that could have shifted resolution include unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger offshore winds, though none materialized in the final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯7月31日的最高溫度?
78-79華氏度 99.9%
80-81°F <1%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
$78,759 交易量
$78,759 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79華氏度
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
78-79華氏度 99.9%
80-81°F <1%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
$78,759 交易量
$78,759 交易量
華氏71度或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79華氏度
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The market's near-certain positioning on 78-79°F reflects the official maximum temperature of 78°F recorded at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on July 31, 2026, per National Weather Service climatological data. This outcome aligns with LAX's typical marine-layer moderation, where afternoon sea breezes and coastal stratus limit warming even amid broader Southern California heat dome conditions that drove inland highs well above 90°F. Ensemble model guidance and historical July norms at the station (averaging highs near 73-76°F) supported the tight clustering around this narrow range, with minimal variance from partly cloudy skies and standard onshore flow. Scenarios that could have shifted resolution include unexpected clearing of the marine layer or stronger offshore winds, though none materialized in the final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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