Numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and regional sources currently favor a maximum of 41–42°C in Jeddah on August 2, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35.5% and 27.5% implied probability. These forecasts incorporate Red Sea moisture, which elevates humidity and can moderate peak daytime heating compared to inland deserts, alongside typical August climatology near 38–39°C. Minor ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer mixing that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes above 43°C remain less common absent strong subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings expected overnight will likely refine the tight consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日吉達的最高溫度？
8月2日吉達的最高溫度？
42°C 35%
41°C 28%
43°C 20%
44°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
35°C或以下
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
4%
40°C
7%
41°C
28%
42°C
35%
43°C
20%
44°C
10%
45°C或以上
3%
42°C 35%
41°C 28%
43°C 20%
44°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
35°C或以下
$734 交易量
<1%
36°C
$42 交易量
<1%
37°C
$896 交易量
1%
38°C
$363 交易量
1%
39°C
$578 交易量
4%
40°C
$188 交易量
7%
41°C
$13 交易量
28%
42°C
$164 交易量
35%
43°C
$38 交易量
20%
44°C
$400 交易量
10%
45°C或以上
$178 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and regional sources currently favor a maximum of 41–42°C in Jeddah on August 2, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35.5% and 27.5% implied probability. These forecasts incorporate Red Sea moisture, which elevates humidity and can moderate peak daytime heating compared to inland deserts, alongside typical August climatology near 38–39°C. Minor ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer mixing that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes above 43°C remain less common absent strong subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings expected overnight will likely refine the tight consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,595結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and regional sources currently favor a maximum of 41–42°C in Jeddah on August 2, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35.5% and 27.5% implied probability. These forecasts incorporate Red Sea moisture, which elevates humidity and can moderate peak daytime heating compared to inland deserts, alongside typical August climatology near 38–39°C. Minor ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer mixing that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes above 43°C remain less common absent strong subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings expected overnight will likely refine the tight consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,595結束日期
2026-08-02市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNumerical weather prediction models from the Met Office and regional sources currently favor a maximum of 41–42°C in Jeddah on August 2, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35.5% and 27.5% implied probability. These forecasts incorporate Red Sea moisture, which elevates humidity and can moderate peak daytime heating compared to inland deserts, alongside typical August climatology near 38–39°C. Minor ensemble spreads arise from subtle differences in steering winds and boundary-layer mixing that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes above 43°C remain less common absent strong subsidence or reduced cloud cover. Updated model runs and Saudi National Center for Meteorology briefings expected overnight will likely refine the tight consensus ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions