Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate peak temperatures in Seoul and Incheon on August 1 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid typical early-August subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity. Seasonal averages hover near 31°C, with variability driven by afternoon convection, possible showers, and wind shifts that can cap or enhance daytime heating. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C reflect consensus around these baseline conditions and recent short-range model runs showing limited deviation, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. Updated observations through the day will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 46%
33°C 27%
31°C 17%
34°C 6.8%
$70,832 交易量
$70,832 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
17%
32°C
46%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
33°C 27%
31°C 17%
34°C 6.8%
$70,832 交易量
$70,832 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
17%
32°C
46%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models indicate peak temperatures in Seoul and Incheon on August 1 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid typical early-August subtropical high-pressure patterns and elevated humidity. Seasonal averages hover near 31°C, with variability driven by afternoon convection, possible showers, and wind shifts that can cap or enhance daytime heating. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C reflect consensus around these baseline conditions and recent short-range model runs showing limited deviation, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-31°C outcomes align with the narrow historical range and current steering patterns. Updated observations through the day will refine exact maxima before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions